How to Respond When Your Church’s Attendance (and Growth) Is Stuck

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So, you’ve hit a growth wall in your church: Your attendance is stuck.

Every church leader I know wants to reach more people, and almost nobody in leadership (even church leadership) gets into leadership to watch things decline.  

But it happens. 

  • A season of growth peaks and then plateaus. 
  • New families that seemed abundant in the fall slow to a trickle in the winter. 
  • The ‘buzz’ that characterized ministry just a short time ago (life change, stories, baptisms, and a sense of wonder and expectancy) has been replaced by a sense that this is just another Sunday. 

And often, leaders are left scratching their heads, asking and praying, “What happened?” 

Sometimes, there’s no obvious explanation. Nothing really changed. There was no catastrophe or trigger you can point to. 

You just had momentum. And now you don’t. 

I’ve been there, and so have most leaders who have led through a few seasons. 

So what do you do? 

Here are seven things you can do when your church hits a growth wall and some ideas on how you might be able to break through.

1. Don’t Panic

Panicking when you see growth slow or stop can be so easy. 

Our church experienced rapid growth in the first few years of ministry. I got so used to it that I told myself if the growth ever stopped for more than three months, I would tender my resignation to the elders. 

That’s not a wise or spiritual view at all, but that’s how I felt. 

Fast forward a few years, and I had matured to the point where I realized that my earlier belief was wrong on about 100 levels. First, it revealed a deep insecurity in me that God was starting to work on.

Second, leadership doesn’t just mean riding the highs. It also means leading with humility and skill through the lows.  A lull of a few months wouldn’t determine whether or not I was the leader for the next season. 

Leadership doesn’t just mean riding the highs. It also means leading with humility and skill through the lows. Share on X

Since then, we’ve had seasons of growth and seasons where the growth has slowed.

In it all, I’ve learned not to panic but instead to pray.  

Growth often comes in waves, some big and some small. But between waves, there are lulls. 

Lulls, in many ways, are gifts. Chances to catch your breath, assess, pray, and plan. 

Naturally, if you don’t see growth over a longer period of time (if months turn into quarters or a year), it’s time to take stock.

When growth stalls at your church, don’t panic, pray.  Share on X

2. Don’t Over-Spiritualize

The quickest way to lose an important insight is to over-spiritualize what you’re experiencing or not experiencing. 

To simply say “God is moving” when things are going well might sometimes be theologically accurate, but it’s not overly helpful. 

If that was the sole explanation (see point 3 below), you would also have to say, “God is no longer moving” if the momentum stopped. Or, worse, you’d have to say, “God never moves here” if your church was stuck for a long time. 

The latter two are rarely the case. 

The truth is it’s very difficult to explain or even sense what God is doing at any given moment. You need to look no further than the cross to see that this is true. When they nailed Jesus to the cross, everyone thought God was losing. But God was winning.

Conversely, other Biblical stories explain how people mustered up the strength for a major win and the writer explains that no, God wasn’t in it. 

Understanding what God is doing at the moment is exceedingly difficult. 

So, how should you analyze your situation? 

Well, give glory to God when things are going well and try to understand why they’re going well. Then, accept responsibility when things are not going particularly well and try to understand why they’re not going well. 

Over-spiritualizing means you risk speaking for God when God may not be saying what you think He’s saying. And no pastor should put themselves in that position.

Over-spiritualizing means you risk speaking for God when God may not be saying what you think He’s saying. And no pastor should put themselves in that position. Share on X

Sure, the Holy Spirit moves in seasons. But the Spirit probably hasn’t left you even if the growth has eased off for a season. 

3. Ask, “What’s Changed?”

When you gain or lose momentum,  the best first step is to ask what’s changed.

Sometimes, the answer is nothing, but usually, you can find some condition or explanation.

When you’ve gained or lost momentum, try asking why you have or don’t have momentum. What you’re looking for is a change in external or internal questions.

  • Did something shift in the hearts of the leaders? 
  • Is there a greater sense of dependence on God? 
  • Did a lot of new people move to the community? 
  • Did the worship team suddenly get better?

If you start to see patterns and gain answers, you’ll have a clue about what to do or not to do next. 

4. Ask, “What Needs to Change?”

In addition to asking what has changed, wise leaders also ask themselves (and others) what needs to change. 

This can be a challenging question to answer. 

In fact, the longer you’ve been in charge, the harder this question is to answer because you’ve ushered in the approach to ministry that’s become the status quo. It’s much easier to change something that someone else implemented than it is to change what you’ve implemented. That’s just human nature. 

It’s much easier to change something that someone else implemented than it is to change what you’ve implemented. Share on X

It can also be difficult to see what needs to change after you’ve had a long period of momentum. 

Why? Well, success makes you conservative. If it “worked” in the past, it’s easy to assume it will work in the future (even if it’s stopped ‘working’). 

The challenge for leaders with a long run of momentum is that the greatest enemy of your future success is your current success. 

If you’re struggling to see what needs to change, here are three things you can do to see what kind of change might need to happen:

  1. As Andy Groves, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, famously mused.  “Imagine the board fired you, and a new CEO came in. Ask yourself, what would they do? Then do that.”  “
  2. Ask someone a generation or two younger than you are what they think needs to change. 
  3. Hire an outside consultant to see your church through fresh eyes and make recommendations.

5. Check Your Systems

As boring as this sounds, your systems can become the silent killer of growth.

Your church might be growing, but if you haven’t hired staff to keep up with the growth, recruited enough volunteers, or adjusted your budget accordingly, you could see that growth stall out because your church isn’t ready to handle the influx. 

So, how do you know if your church’s systems are up to the momentum you’re experiencing? 

For years, I’ve heard 15% annualized compound growth as a sustainable level of church growth. Growth beyond that on a regular basis becomes very difficult to manage. As a rule of thumb, that’s a decent guideline.

However, a Harvard Business Review study suggests that a sustainable level of growth for a company is the rate at which its structure and systems can absorb and anticipate growth. 

That resonates.

Play that out, and you’ll see that some churches might have the systems, staff, and structure to handle 25% growth per year or more. Others might struggle to keep up with 10% growth. 

When checking your systems, take a careful look at the agility and scalability of these nine factors. 

  1. How you handle pastoral care.
  2. Your assimilation system for first-time guests.
  3. Your ability to get people beyond the seats and into service and community.
  4. Your discipleship pathway—is it robust enough to handle growth, or do you have a back door that is always ajar because people aren’t growing?
  5. Your volunteer recruitment and retention systems.
  6. How you onboard and cultivate stewardship in new donors.
  7. Whether your governance is getting bogged down in the details or ready to be the guardrails rather than the decision-makers. 
  8. Your staff as a percentage of your annual budget. Healthy churches tend to have 35% – 50% of their total budget devoted to staffing. Less than that, and you’re running too lean. Over 50%, and you’re starting to get bloated, full of B players, or relying on staff to do the ministry of volunteers. 
  9. The strength of your leadership team. Are they ready for more responsibility?

Structure is the silent killer of a lot of church growth. You’ve got to structure bigger to grow bigger. If you don’t, you won’t keep growing. 

Structure is the silent killer of a lot of church growth. Share on X

6.  Elevate Preaching

Strangely, preaching makes the list of things to pay attention to. And here’s why.

Great preaching can help grow a church, but bad or inconsistent preaching can kill it. 

Great preaching can help grow a church, but bad or inconsistent preaching can kill it.  Share on X

The challenge is that the preaching that will get you to 1,000 in weekend attendance often won’t get you past 1,000 in attendance.  You’ll hit an invisible lid.

Here’s what happens. 

To really sustain preaching for a large church, let alone a megachurch, takes focused communication that is consistently great. In other words, the tolerance for average or mediocre preaching diminishes once you hit and surpass 1,000 in attendance. 

That means pastors need to spend more of their week researching, preparing, and polishing their message and delivery, not with a view to ‘perform,’ but with a view to faithfully steward the congregation God has given them. 

Focused sermon preparation is difficult because the decisions that come your way scale in number and complexity as the church grows. 

The key to scaling this barrier is to have a leadership or executive team capable of making many of the decisions that a senior pastor used to make. In other words, you need to have a team that can lead in the senior pastor’s place. 

That allows the preacher more time to focus on the weekend message and the major decisions he or she should make. 

To make matters even more interesting, most preachers of churches of 1,000 or more weekend attenders rarely preach more than 30-35 times a year.  That’s because at scale, quality and quantity compete. To scale the 1,000 barrier, you have to choose quality over quantity.

At scale, quality and quantity compete, and to scale the 1,000 barrier, you have to choose quality over quantity. Share on X

7. Revisit Your Vision

Vision in a church can so easily be taken for granted. 

First, your vision is historic. Pastors of churches rarely ‘make up’ a vision; it was handed down through the centuries and almost always focuses on the same thing it has for centuries.

Second, you probably have a deep sense of vision that’s gotten you to the point of momentum.

So why revisit your vision?

  1. It’s not hard for momentum to become a poor substitute for vision. Because you’re growing, you assume it’s because everyone understands and has internalized the vision and mission. That’s a questionable assumption. 
  2. If you’re being honest, your current growth may have exceeded any dreams you’ve had for your church. When your vision gets exceeded,  your vision needs to be re-imagined and recast. 

I know you probably think you’re not done until every person is reached. I get it. But if you’ve stopped behaving like the mission is white hot and will never rest until everyone is reached, people can tell.

Vision smolders. And if your vision isn’t white hot, it needs rekindling.  Share on X

8. Be Patient

So you’ve run through the list above. 

Maybe you haven’t panicked. You haven’t over-spiritualized. You’ve asked what’s changed and what needs to change. You’ve checked your systems, elevated your preaching, and revisited your visions.

What’s next? 

The final thing to do is to be patient. 

Growth isn’t always cause-and-effect. 

You can be doing all the right things for months or even a few years and not see much change. And then suddenly, people start showing up, coming to Christ, and getting baptized. 

As the scripture tells us, the Spirit moves where it moves. We can’t control it. 

But having done all you can do, you just have to be patient and wait for God to do what only God can do.

A final thought on patience: Don’t be disappointed if the growth and change happen over time. Sometimes, you don’t notice the change right away. 

But two to three years down the road, the compound effect of small changes and growth over time means your church is hardly recognizable from what it once was (in the best possible way).  

What Step Do You Need To Take? 

Growth walls are not the end of the road—they’re an opportunity for God to do something new. Reassure leaders that with intentionality and openness to change, they can break through.

So, what step do you need to take? If you start today, you have no idea what tomorrow might bring.

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Carey Nieuwhof
Carey Nieuwhof

Carey Nieuwhof is a best-selling leadership author, speaker, podcaster, former attorney, and church planter. He hosts one of today’s most influential leadership podcasts, and his online content is accessed by leaders over 1.5 million times a month. He speaks to leaders around the world about leadership, change, and personal growth.